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Predictions For The 83rd Annual Academy Awards!

Reported by Kristen - 10:15 PM 2011.02.07
The culmination of any year isnít seen with the arrival of ďbest ofĒ or ďyear in reviewĒ lists but predictions on the Academy Awards. Until those gold statuettes are given out people are still talking about the best of 2010 well into 2011. So it is that ENI sees fit to give a look at who might be walking away with a statute this year. As seen in past predictions weíll only be focusing on the big awards, namely Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress and Best Supporting Actor/Actress. With my commentary on each nomineeís chances Iíll give my thoughts on who should win before declaring our predictions. Check back after the 83rd Academy Awards on February 27th to see how well we did and be sure to share your thought on who you think will win in our comments section below.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

The Nominees Are: Christian Bale (The Fighter), John Hawkes (Winterís Bone), Jeremy Renner (The Town), Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right), Geoffrey Rush (The Kingís Speech)

My Thoughts: The acting categories seem rather cut and dry this year as the same actors have literally swept all the other award shows. Supporting Actor this year chose the rightful nominees and if we lived in a different world they all deserve awards, but it seems that the winner of all the other awards will take this one and thatís Christian Bale. Bale won the Golden Globe for his role as Dicky Eklund in The Fighter and considering the metamorphosis he did to get into the character he definitely deserves it. Hawkes and Renner were wild-cards to begin with and Hawkes would definitely have had an advantage in a lesser year but if his role in Winterís Bone is any indication heíll be back in the future. The dark horse is Rush as The Kingís Speech has come out of nowhere and is looking to be the new shoo-in for the majority of the categories. Had Rush gotten a few of the lesser awards, or the Golden Globe, he might have more of a shot but Bale has paid his dues and will secure this award.

Who Should Win: Hawkes was terrifying in Winterís Bone and while you were afraid of him you still wanted to see him succeed. If this was a slower awards season he might have been a serious dark horse but now heís just a face in the crowd.

Who Will Win: Christian BaleÖthe man genuinely looked like a junkie and if the Best Actress winners are anything to go off of the Academy rewards physical transformations.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

The Nominees Are: Amy Adams (The Fighter), Helena Bonham Carter (The Kingís Speech), Melissa Leo (The Fighter), Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit), Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)

My Thoughts: At least three of these actresses were the sole females in their respective movies and being labeled supporting is enough to make your eyes roll into the back of your head. Carter, Steinfeld and Weaver were the female leads of their movies and if the Best Actress wasnít already saturated Iíd wish one of them had been moved, preferably Steinfeld or Weaver. Adams and Leo might have canceled each other out being in the same movie if any of the other nominees were stronger but since Leo has swept the other awards this looks to be her win. Steinfeld gained a lot of steam before True Gritís release and since then the movie has received a lot of undue backlash which has ruined her chances. Weaver was also a serious dark horse contender but that has petered out as the season has progressed. Carter seems the most out-of-place considering how pivotal a role she played as Queen Elizabeth in The Kingís Speech and this seems to be another thankless nomination.

Who Should Win: Melissa Leo definitely made you hate her in The Fighter and it was that ferocity that made her incredibly memorable, this is a steal for her!

Who Will Win: Melissa Leo

BEST ACTOR

The Nominees Are: Javier Bardem (Biutiful), Jeff Bridges (True Grit), Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network), Colin Firth (The Kingís Speech), James Franco (127 Hours)

My Thoughts: Iím still shocked that Bardem edged out Ryan Gosling who deserved a nomination for Blue Valentine. Considering Bardemís movie hasnít reached the masses by a long show makes his nomination seem more of a head-scratcher, especially considering he wasnít a nominee for any of the lesser awards. Gosling was phenomenal in a challenging role and it is still surprising he wasnít recognized, they didnít even give him a pity nomination in the Supporting Actor category. Bridges won Best Actor just last year and with the aforementioned backlash against True Grit this is a nomination and nothing more. Eisenberg was memorable as Facebook founder Mark Zuckerburg but unfortunately the new frontrunner has made it impossible heíll win but I have no doubt weíll see him in the future. I was glad to see Franco get a nod here considering his Golden Globes snub but I think his role as host is all the accolades heíll get which is sad because he was haunting in 127 Hours. Nope this is Colin Firthís award to lose as heís edged out all the competition playing George VI in The Kingís Speech. In hindsight his role was amazing but it seems the Academy might be playing it safe this year by giving the award to a safe actor playing a pretty bland role (I mean if this had come out at any other time).

Who Should Win: Since Gosling wasnít nominated Iíd have to say James Franco. I mean the man had to act out breaking his own arm and cutting it off while hallucinatingÖ.thatís quite a feat.

Who Will Win: Again this is Firthís award to lose, heís a shoo-in!

BEST ACTRESS

The Nominees Are: Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right), Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole), Jennifer Lawrence (Winterís Bone), Natalie Portman (Black Swan), Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)

My Thoughts: I hate to be repetitive but a lot of my commentary mentioned above holds true here. This is Portmanís Oscar to lose as itís become incredibly obvious sheíll win and rightfully so. Her role as the tortured ballerina in Black Swan was a step out of the box for the actress and after so many years in the spotlight itís surprising that she hasnít won an Oscar already. If this were any other year the rest of these talented women would have had a shot but this is all about Portman, not to mention who doesnít want to hear her nerd laugh again? As for the rest of the nominees, itís surprising the amount of independent films present in this category. Kidman and Lawrence were wild-cards considering their movies were big money-makers while Williams was expected after all the drama with her film. Bening was a serious contender for a bit before Portman swept everyone away.

Who Should Win: Portman definitely but Jennifer Lawrence was a breath of fresh air in Winterís Bone.

Who Will Win: Like the Best Actor comments itís all about Natalie Portman

BEST DIRECTOR

The Nominees Are: Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan), David O. Russell (The Fighter), Tom Hooper (The Kingís Speech), David Fincher (The Social Network), Joel Cohen and Ethan Cohen (True Grit)

My Thoughts: Two words - Christopher Nolan! The man made a fantastic, riveting and complex blockbuster and he didnít even get a pity nomination! Iím not saying give the man the award but not even a shout-out? If the Academy is truly trying to ensnare the younger fan base they did them a disservice with that snub. This award could go two ways as it does every year: the Best Director winner could be an indicator of Best Picture, or the Academy will give the Best Directing award to the close-second and give the Best Picture to someone else (think Ang Lee winning for directing Brokeback Mountain but losing Best Picture). Aronofsky and Russell made amazing movies but they kind of cancel each other out with the awards their actors will secure. The Cohenís have also lost this since they just won recently and all the controversy over their movie. It all boils down to David Fincher and Tom Hooper. One of these men could walk away with a Directing award and lose Best PictureÖor one of these men will win Best Director AND Best Picture. Unfortunately it looks like will be seeing the former in this instance. Fincher more than deserves the award and after losing for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button the Academy will probably reward him at the expense of Best Picture. Since Hooper is still a smaller director he wonít have the same amount of clout so look for Fincher to get this, which means his movie wonít be winning Best Picture.

Who Should Win: Iíd have loved to see Aronofsky get this but Fincher isnít bad by any means.

Who Will Win: David Fincher

BEST PICTURE

The Nominees Are: Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids Are All Right, The Kingís Speech, 127 Hours, The Social Network, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winterís Bone

My Thoughts: Still not sure if Iím liking the ten nominees although it does open the field for smaller films like Winterís Bone, films not ordinarily considered when their was five like Toy Story 3, and popcorn films like Inception. Unfortunately itís all about two films: The Social Network and The Kingís Speech. Up until a few weeks ago all bets were on Fincherís Facebook movie, until The Kingís Speech came along. Will the power of Mark Zuckerberg trounce on George VI? I donít think so. This seems to be a pivotal year for the Oscars as the Academy pitís a movie based on the new generation, against the safe, tried and tested ďOscarĒ film. Having The Social Network win would be a changing of the guard and I donít see that happening this year. Itís a close race but due to recent awards I think The Kingís Speech is going to snag this.

Who Should Win: Toy Story 3 and Inception (I enjoy the popcorn films!)

Who Will Win: Iíd say put money on both if you canÖbut since I have to choose I say The Kingís Speech!

Check back to see how we did! The 83rd Academy Awards airs February 27th on ABC!






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